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Donald J. Trump
Didn’t hold up· The record disagreesOptimistic

The pledge to halve energy costs in a year.

Donald J. Trump · President of the United States · U.S. governmentSee track record

“My goal will be to cut your energy costs in half within 12 months after taking office.”
Said Aug 29, 2024·Campaign speech, Michigan Source
Markets & Economy#energy#gas-prices#affordability
Confidence
40/100

Disputed

For vs against
1to1

Supporting to contradicting

Days tracked
664days

Since first seen on the record

Saved
1,450

Readers tracking this signal

The crowd

Will this come true?

40% say true, 16% too early, to 483 votes

01The claim & the outcome
The claim

A claim about the future

Energy costs would be cut in half within 12 months of taking office.

What happenedDidn’t hold up

Per EIA data, average retail gasoline rose from about $3.20/gal in January 2025 to roughly $4.61/gal by May 2026, and natural-gas costs also climbed. The 12-month deadline passed unmet.

See what happened
Why it matters

Time-boxed promises are where rhetoric meets the receipts.

02The lineage

How the claim has aged.

The record so far2 markers
  1. Where it beganAug 29, 2024

    Statement made

    Campaign speech, Michigan

  2. VerdictJun 20, 2026

    Didn’t hold up

    Per EIA data, average retail gasoline rose from about $3.20/gal in January 2025 to roughly $4.61/gal by May 2026, and natural-gas costs also climbed. The 12-month deadline passed unmet.

Evidence over time1 for·1 against
Aug 29, 2024Jun 20, 2026
  • Supports
  • Contradicts
  • Neutral
03The signal chain

Show the receipts.

  1. QuotedSupportsAug 29, 2024

    Donald J. Trump · The White House · Conference

    My goal will be to cut your energy costs in half within 12 months after taking office.
  2. PatternContradicts3d ago

    What happened since · Filing

    Per EIA data, average retail gasoline rose from about $3.20/gal in January 2025 to roughly $4.61/gal by May 2026, and natural-gas costs also climbed. The 12-month deadline passed unmet.
04Nowsera read
Nowsera readInterpretation, not confirmed fact.

A specific, datable affordability pledge is the easiest kind to grade, and this one is well past due in the wrong direction.

Time-boxed promises are where rhetoric meets the receipts.

05What disagrees

The story is not settled.

The record is not settled. These signals and readings cut against the pattern. Weigh them honestly.

“Per EIA data, average retail gasoline rose from about $3.20/gal in January 2025 to roughly $4.61/gal by May 2026, and natural-gas costs also climbed. The 12-month deadline passed unmet.”
What happened since · Filing · 3d ago
Alternative explanations
    06Watch next

    The next proof point.

    On the record

    Graded against sourced outcomes. Watch for reversals.

    Also worth monitoring

    Inflation & energy prints

    Whether affordability claims start to match the data.

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    The crowd

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    Track this story

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