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Donald J. Trump
On the record

Donald J. Trump

President of the United States · U.S. government

Wikipedia

0%

Hit rate

5

Tracked calls

0

Played out

2

Didn't hold up

2 Partly1 Too early2 Didn't hold

What Donald said, and whether it held.

Open signal: “A crash like you wouldn’t believe”. If he lost.
Donald J. Trump
Didn’t hold up

Donald J. Trump

President of the United States · U.S. government

40% true to 630 calls
Markets & EconomyCautious

“A crash like you wouldn’t believe”. If he lost.

If we lose, you're gonna have a crash like you wouldn't believe.
Feb 23, 2024·2 receipts
Open signal: The pledge to halve energy costs in a year.
Donald J. Trump
Didn’t hold up

Donald J. Trump

President of the United States · U.S. government

40% true to 483 calls
EnergyOptimistic

The pledge to halve energy costs in a year.

My goal will be to cut your energy costs in half within 12 months after taking office.
Aug 29, 2024·2 receipts
Open signal: “Liberation Day”: the central economic gamble.
Donald J. Trump
Partly right

Donald J. Trump

President of the United States · U.S. government

48% true to 737 calls
Tariffs & TradeOptimistic

“Liberation Day”: the central economic gamble.

We're going to start being smart, and we're going to start being very wealthy again.
Apr 2, 2025·1 receipts
Open signal: A sitting president cheering a falling dollar.
Donald J. Trump
Too early

Donald J. Trump

President of the United States · U.S. government

45% true to 347 calls
Markets & EconomyOptimistic

A sitting president cheering a falling dollar.

I think it's great. Look at the business we're doing. The dollar's doing great.
Jan 27, 2026·1 receipts